Pub Closure

Nov 30, 2020
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Originally Pubs had to deal with the loss of profit due to the decision that the Pubs must close at 10 pm.

Many MPs asked to see the scientific evidence to support this decision but to no avail. The only loose explanation that I heard was to the effect that at the end of the evening alcohol would be taking over and social distancing would then become compromised
Now the decision has been altered to last orders at 10 pm but the pub can stay open to 11pm. This seems to be completely in the face of the previous decision. It now puts a further burden on the publican that he must pay his staff for a further hour for no extra profit. Almost certainly a few drinkers will preorder several drinks at 10pm which destroys the first argument. This extra profit from pre ordered drinks probably will not cover the extra hour overhead
As for the substantial meals argument, research in New York has found that the biggest breeding ground for Covid in New York is in fact Restaurants.
 

ROG

Aug 29, 2020
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As the greater majority of infections are getting into households via school kids, then why not close them down to massively reduce infections and deaths?
 
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ROG

Aug 29, 2020
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They did.
Too late again !

The govt in the UK still do not seem to get it
Schools currently stop the infection rate from falling but at least now with the vaccinations when they open the rates do not rise
Infection rate graphs clearly shoe infection rates falling during school holidays and then levelling off when they return - this has happened twice very recently
 
Sep 6, 2020
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Infection rate graphs clearly shoe infection rates falling during school holidays and then levelling off when they return - this has happened twice very recently
You will need to direct me to this or provide a graph and source.
 

ROG

Aug 29, 2020
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The three month trend for total cases is downwards so your comment 'Schools currently stop the infection rate from falling ' looks very wrong.
Going three months back takes you to January when schools were all returning after Christmas.
Look at the current slanted drops on the graph as they are when schools were on holls then look at what happens when they return - the graph clearly shows what happens
 
Sep 6, 2020
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Look at the current slanted drops on the graph as they are when schools were on holls then look at what happens when they return - the graph clearly shows what happens
What dates are you referring to as they are not identifiable on the graphs.
 

ROG

Aug 29, 2020
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UK school holls were February 12 to 22 and March 27 to April 12
On the graph those dates are where the graph has the definable slants then following those the line is virtually level again but stays at the lower level they were brought down to by the closures

Next week of school holls is May 29 to June 7 so I expect the same to happen again

The start of the Summer holls is mid July until the start of September and if this trend continues then the infection rates should drop to almost zero and stay there especially as by that time virtually all UK adults will be vaccinated
 
Sep 6, 2020
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I investigated the number of tests in the period and note there are less tests conducted in the school holiday period - This would be fully justifiable in that there would be less people to conduct tests and less ease to seek a test.


Upon catching up the following week there are a rush of tests completed, but the % of positive is consistent over the dates provided.
 

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